Innovations fuel economic growth and prosperity.  

Continuous, incremental innovations provide enhancements to existing products or processes.  The latest version of a software product may incorporate incremental innovations.

Discontinuous, disruptive or radical innovations fundamentally change the way we do something. The inventions of moveable type, the telegraph, the computer, the internet and the mouse are all discontinuous innovations.

Prosperity depends on both kinds of innovation, and each kind requires different organizational capabilities.  Here we will focus primarily on disruptive innovations.

Disruptive innovations provide threats to some businesses and opportunities for others.  Some of the market behaviors are well-understood and fairly predictable.  Managers need to understand those behaviors in order to succeed during a disruptive innovation.

Waves of technology


Market Size over Time

Disruptive innovations create technology waves. Successive waves start out with a simpler technology, which improves in performance, features or functionality over time.  And successive waves have increasingly larger market sizes.

In the computer industry over the last 30 years, we have been through successive waves of technology.

What will be next?

The role of standards

Understanding the role of standards is critical to success in a changing marketplace.  When a standard emerges, whether de facto or regulated, an industry experiences rapid growth.  Until the IBM PC standard emerged, the industry remained small.  PCs were dismissed as toys.  The infrastructure to support the industry remained small.

Automobiles presented a threat to the horse and carriage industry and an opportunity for Ford.

Calculators presented a threat to slide rule makers and an opportunity for Hewlett-Packard and Texas Instruments

Technology, commerce, and standards are three forces that come together to drive tremendous growth. If your company is driving technology, you need to understand the tools to drive de facto standards.

The role of infrastructure

Disruptive innovations as "toys"

Overshooting the market

Value networks

Characteristics of different stages

Which stage is your company in?

 

 

 


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